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  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • Jan 31
  • 4 min read

The Philippines is so far on track to achieve its target of exiting the Financial Action Task Force’s (FATF) “gray list” by next month, the central bank’s top official said.


Asked about the progress on the country’s final steps to exiting the gray list, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. told BusinessWorld that it has been “so far so good.”


The FATF recently concluded its onsite visit in the Philippines this month ahead of its plenary and meetings in February, which Mr. Remolona is scheduled to attend.


At its October plenary, the FATF kept the country on its list of jurisdictions under increased monitoring for “dirty money” risks.


The Philippines has been on the list for over three years now or since June 2021.


However, the dirty money watchdog initially determined that the country had substantially completed the recommended action items to improve its anti-money laundering and counter financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) regime.


The FATF’s recent onsite visit and assessment aimed to verify the country’s progress and sustainability of AML/CFT reforms. This is typically the final step before it grants a country an exit from the list.


The Anti-Money Laundering Council earlier said it was positive that the country will be able to exit the dirty money list this year as it has addressed the remaining deficiencies.

However, it cited the need to sustain the progress on these reforms to ensure the country stays out of the list.


Chester B. Cabalza, founding president of Manila-based International Development and Security Cooperation, said the government must fast-track its financial reforms to exit the list.


“If in case it achieves the exodus from the gray list, to draw more investments and be considered a respectable economy in the region, the Philippines is obliged to have a clear-cut monitoring and innovative actions on how to stay buoyant financially without scar from its hits in FATF,” he said.


Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III, coordinator of Action for Economic Reforms, said that reforms should go further than those recommended by the FATF.


“The biggest reform that can deter money laundering and tax evasion is the lifting of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA),” he said via Facebook messenger.


“Bank secrecy law is a Jurassic institution; only countries that are centers of money laundering have them. But international pressure is forcing this limited number of countries to relax their laws.”


Nueva Ecija Rep. Rosanna “Ria” V. Vergara said being part of the gray list for years now has had “significant consequences for our economy and citizens.”


“While enhanced due diligence is not explicitly required by the FATF, being on the gray list has resulted in a decline in foreign investments, reduced investor trust, and added financial burdens on Filipinos working abroad.”


“Getting off the gray list would have a transformative impact. It would restore global confidence in the Philippines, stimulate economic growth, and attract foreign investors back to our shores,” she added.


This would also be more beneficial for overseas Filipino workers (OFWs), as they face high transaction costs.


“As a result of being on the FATF gray list, they end up going to financial service providers (FSPs) that charge higher fees to send money,” Ms. Vergara said.


“These FSPs take advantage of our being on the list for the higher charges.  Being removed from the gray list will allow our OFW to choose FSPs who do not charge exorbitant fees.”


Monitoring of financial risks should not just be limited to institutions, Ms. Vergara said.

“Most often these unscrupulous individuals use nonfinancial agencies to do their illegal activities — casinos for one. Thus, vigilance is required.”


“Legislation must be passed to criminalize online scamming.  We need to upgrade our government’s capacity to identify and track down these illegal rings that often operate outside our country, defrauding our people of their hard-earned money.”


Last year, the Anti-Financial Account Scamming Act (AFASA) was signed into law. It aims to protect consumers from financial cybercrimes by penalizing violations.


Meanwhile, the Defend NGOs Alliance in a statement raised concern over the “misuse of CFT measures and erosion of civic space in the Philippines.”


It said the government’s efforts to exit the gray list have led to “increasing judicial attacks on nongovernment organizations (NGOs) and people’s organizations (POs).”


The group said the government’s implementation of FATF recommendations have been used to “justify restrictive measures against NGOs it sees as critical of the government under the guise of counterterrorism.”


“Stricter restrictions and regulations on NGOs disrupt their finances, operations and services. The research also points out that trumped-up cases are for ‘paper compliance’ to meet arbitrary quotas for exiting the FATF gray list.”


Data from Defend NGOs Alliance showed that there are at least 69 development workers and 29 NGOs in the country that have been tagged with charges related to terrorism.


In 2002, the FATF blacklisted the Philippines for having no legal anti-money laundering framework. It was removed from the blacklist a year later after the passage of the Anti-Money Laundering Act.


  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • Jan 1
  • 2 min read

Residential property price growth contracted for the first time in three years in the third quarter, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) reported late last Friday.


The Residential Real Estate Price Index fell by 2.3 percent for the three-month period, reversing from the 2.7-percent and 12.9-percent expansions, respectively, seen in the second quarter and a year earlier.


Quarter on quarter, housing prices were down 1.6 percent after growing by 1.8 percent in April to June.


Duplex housing units saw prices plunge by 48.1 percent, in particular, while condominium units also fell by 9.4 percent, outpacing the 2.9-percent and 0.7-percent upticks for single-detached/attached and townhouses, respectively.


Compared to the second quarter, only single-detached/attached houses registered higher prices ( 2.6 percent) while other housing types fell: duplex housing units (46.6 percent), townhouses (5.3 percent) and condominium units (5.3 percent).


By area, residential property prices fell by 14.6 percent in the National Capital Region (NCR) following declines for duplex housing units (-37.6 percent), single-detached/attached houses (-22.9 percent) and condominium units (-14.3 percent), which offset an increase in townhouse prices (13.9 percent).


Prices outside the NCR rose 3.0 percent, driven by increases in single-detached/attached houses (6.7 percent) and condominium units (3.6 percent) that outweighed declines in duplex housing units (-51.5 percent) and townhouse prices (-2.3 percent).


Compared to the previous quarter, housing prices fell by 3.7 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively, in the NCR and elsewhere.


Meanwhile, residential real estate loans (RRELs) for new housing plunged by 15.7 percent from a year earlier. Broken down, the drop was a larger 20.3 percent in the NCR and hit 13.0 percent outside the metropolis.


The double-digit contractions, the BSP said, were "significant, yet not as severe as the decline in housing loan availment observed during the pandemic, which began in Q2 2020."


"This is also consistent with the outcome of the Q3 2024 Consumer Expectations Survey (CES), which showed consumers' more pessimistic view on buying a house and lot during the period," it added.


Quarter-on-quarter, housing loans increased by 3.1 percent nationwide. Loans in the NCR rose by 15.8 percent, offsetting a 2.4 percent drop in the rest of the country.

The BSP said that this matched its Senior Bank Loan Officers' Survey that found higher demand for housing loans.


The average appraised value of new housing units, meanwhile, was P86,417 per square meter in the third quarter, down 6.2 percent from last year but up 3.2 percent from the previous quarter.


In the NCR, the average value dropped 13.7 percent year on year and 3.6 percent quarter on quarter to P135,076 per sqm. Outside the metropolis, this rose 10.1 percent on an annual basis and 3.5 percent quarter on quarter to P60,804.


  • Writer: Ziggurat Realestatecorp
    Ziggurat Realestatecorp
  • Dec 21, 2024
  • 3 min read

Consumer sentiment remained negative, but less so, while business optimism improved in the fourth quarter, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said on Friday.

Results of the central bank's latest consumer and business expectations survey placed the consumer confidence index (CI) at -11.1 percent for October-December, improving from -15.6 percent three months earlier.



The CI for businesses, meanwhile, rose to 44.5 percent from 32.9 percent in July-September.


Consumer sentiment for the quarter and year ahead also improved, to 4.2 percent and 12.4 percent, respectively, from 0.7 percent and 9.9 percent in the earlier survey.

Business confidence, however, fell for the first quarter of 2025 and the full year, to 40.3 percent and 56.4 percent from the quarter- and year-ahead 56.8 percent and 58.0 percent in the third-quarter poll.


A positive CI means that optimists outnumber pessimists. The reverse applies with regard to negative results.


Factors cited


The less pessimistic consumer confidence for the fourth quarter was said to have stemmed from expectations of higher and additional sources of income, more working family members and more available jobs and permanent employment.


Business sentiment, meanwhile, was boosted by expectations of higher demand for certain goods and services, and a seasonal uptick in business activities.


For the next quarter and the next 12 months, consumers said they expected higher income, additional sources of income and more available jobs.


A post-holiday decline in demand, stiff competition here and abroad, increased uncertainty leading to the May 2025 midterm elections, a weaker peso and higher production costs were tagged as having pulled down quarter-ahead business confidence.


For the next 12 months, the lower business sentiment was said to be due to concerns over weaker demand, the impact of escalating geopolitical tensions, domestic and foreign competition, and inflation rising anew.


Consumer findings


With regard to the country's economic condition and family financial situation and family income, consumers were also less pessimistic in the fourth quarter: -24.2 percent from -30.7 percent, -9.0 percent from -11.12 percent and -0.1 percent from -4.7 percent.

Results for next quarter also improved to -3.1 percent from -5.8 percent for the country's economic condition, 5.4 percent from 1.8 percent for family financial situation and 10.3 percent from 6.1 percent for family income.


Consumers turned optimistic for the next 12 months and the outlooks all rose for the country's economic outlook (6.9 percent from 2.9 percent), family financial situation (14.4 percent from 11.6 percent) and family income (16.0 percent from 15.3 percent).

Confidence in purchasing big-ticket items remained firmly negative, but improved slightly with the confidence index for such items hitting -67.3 percent from -68.9 percent three months earlier.


The percentage of households with savings, however, declined to 25.6 percent from 29.0 percent, and the proportion of households with loans was unchanged at 25.5 percent.


Industry outlooks


As for businesses, fourth-quarter sentiment was less upbeat in the construction sector (35.6 percent from 37. 6 percent), but more positive in services (52.9 percent from 36.7 percent), wholesale and retail (42.5 percent from 32.3 percent) and industry (34.5 percent from 26.0 percent).


Firms said they expected easier cash flow and credit access in the last three months of 2024, with the financial condition index improving and the credit access index returning to positive territory.


Businesses also said the peso would strengthen and that borrowing rates would rise in the next quarter and over the next 12 months.


Inflation expectations for 2025 appear to be easing, the BSP said, as fewer businesses predicted rising inflation compared to the previous survey.


Consumer price growth was projected to average 3.6 percent in the fourth quarter and 3.7 percent in the first three months of 2025 and the year ahead.


Consumers, meanwhile, expect higher interest rates, a weaker peso and higher unemployment in the coming months.


They said that inflation would average 6.2 percent in the next 12 months, higher than the business outlook and above the BSP target.


The central bank said that like businesses, fewer consumers said that prices would rise compared to the previous quarter.


Source: Manila Times

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